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Kobak , Shpilkin , Pshenichnikov : Integer percentages as electoral falsification fingerprints


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We hypothesize that if election results are manipulated or forged, then, due 4 the well-known human attraction 4 round numbers, the frequency of reported round percentages can be increased.


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Integer percentages as electoral falsification fingerprints, and We hypothesize that if election results are manipulated or forged, then, due to the well-known human attraction to round numbers, the frequency of reported round percentages can be increased.
Monte Carlo simulations confirmed high statistical significance of the observed phenomenon, thereby suggesting its man-made nature.
Geographical analysis showed that these anomalies were concentrated in a specific subset of Russian regions which strongly suggests its orchestrated origin.
Unlike previously proposed statistical indicators of alleged electoral falsifications, our observations can hardly be explained differently but by a widespread election fraud.
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Datasets used in this study in tab-delimited plain text format.

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